Aceto L., Caloiero T., Pasqua A.A., Petrucci O., 2016, Analysis of damaging hydrogeological events in a Mediterranean region (Calabria),
Journal of hydrology (Amst.) 541 (2016): 510–522. doi_10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.12.041,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.jhydrol.2015.12.041
Abstract
Damaging Hydrogeological Events (DHEs) are periods of severe weather conditions affecting wide areas for several ...
Damaging Hydrogeological Events (DHEs) are periods of severe weather conditions affecting wide areas for several days, and causing mainly damaging landslides and floods. In order to characterize the DHEs, we analysed the historical series of the events that affected a Mediterranean region (Calabria, southern Italy) throughout 92 years of observation. Depending on their magnitude, we classified the events as_ major catastrophic, catastrophic, extraordinary and ordinary. In winter events, damaged areas and damage were greater than those resulting from the other seasons. Nevertheless, the majority of the events took place in autumn, when, in addition to landslides, a relevant percentage of flash floods and floods also occurred. Results also show that the frequency of major catastrophic and catastrophic events has decreased since 1971, and that, in recent decades, Calabria has suffered from damaging effects even though rain did not reached extreme characteristics. In fact, the duration of triggering rain, the maximum daily rain of the events and the out coming frequency of the high return period of rain show a decreasing pattern throughout the study period. As to what concerns the damaging phenomena, landslides were identified as the most frequent in every season and in every type of events,, the eastern side of the region was the most frequently and heavily damaged. According to literature, the trend of number of victims per event is also decreasing.
The proposed analysis can be applied to different study areas in order to assess the relative magnitude of DHEs and their evolution throughout the years. The classification criterion can be useful to compare different events for either scientific or insurance purposes, and to identify the typical rainfall-damage scenario of a study area.
Massimo ARATTANO 1, Velio COVIELLO 1,2, Claudia ABANCÓ 3, Marcel HÜRLIMANN 3,
Brian W. McARDELL 4, 2016, Methods of Data Processing for Debris Flow Seismic Warning,
International journal of erosion control engineering 9 (2016): 114–121. doi_10.13101/ijece.9.114,
DOI: 10.13101%2Fijece.9.114
Abstract
The output of the seismic devices commonly employed for the monitoring of debris flows, such ...
The output of the seismic devices commonly employed for the monitoring of debris flows, such as geophones and seismometers, is a voltage that is directly proportional to the ground vibration velocity. The output signal in analogical form is usually digitalized at a fixed sampling frequency to be opportunely processed. The processing is performed to both reduce the amount of data to be stored in a data-logger and to reveal the main features of the phenomenon that are not immediately detectable in the raw signal, such as its main front, eventual subsequent surges, the wave form and so on. The processing also allows a better and sounder development of algorithms, when seismic devices are employed for warning purposes. However, the processing of the raw signal alters in different ways the original raw data, depending on the processing method adopted. This may consequently limit or reduce the efficacy of the warning. Different methods of data processing can be found in literature, each with its own advantages and shortcomings. In this paper we will explore and discuss the effects of some of these latter on the efficacy of the algorithms employed for warning, applying them to the seismic recordings obtained in the instrumented basins of Gadria (Italy), Rebaixader (Spain) and Illgraben (Switzerland).
Caloiero T., Coscarelli R., Ferrari E., Sirangelo B., 2016, Drought severity evalutation in Calabria,
XXXV Convegno di Idraulica e Costruzioni Idrauliche, pp. 593–596, Bologna, 14-16 Settembre 2016,
Abstract
A set of 129 homogeneous and complete rainfall series was selected in the Calabria region ...
A set of 129 homogeneous and complete rainfall series was selected in the Calabria region (southern Italy) for the period 1951-2006.
Drought severity was analysed in the region through the application of the drought severity index (DSI).
The main droughts events which affected the region were identified and one of the most severe was analysed in detail.
Guagliardi I., Buttafuoco G., Caloiero P., Caloiero T., Frustaci F., 2016, Trend analysis of annual and seasonal rainfall time series in Europe and in the Mediterranean area,
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 40 (2016): 382–382. doi_10.3301/ROL.2016.79,
DOI: 10.3301%2FROL.2016.79
Abstract
Wide-ranging researches on climate change, and on its potential, large-scale, environmental and economic consequences, have ...
Wide-ranging researches on climate change, and on its potential, large-scale, environmental and economic consequences, have been carried out during the last decades (Caloiero et al., 2015; Longobardi et al., 2016). One of the most noticeable consequences in a changing climate is the water cycle modification and, in this process, the precipitation plays a key role, which directly affecting human society, economic activities and natural systems. Studies on seasonal and annual precipitation and its trends at local and global scales showed important variations from one area to another one (IPCC, 2013).
The present study investigates the rainfall variability in Europe and in the Mediterranean area using a gridded monthly precipitation dataset produced by the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). In particular, the database analysed is the centennial GPCC Full Data Reanalysis of monthly global land-surface precipitation based on 75,000 stations worldwide that features record durations of 10 years or longer. This database contains the monthly totals on a regular grid with a spatial resolution of 0.5° x 0.5° latitude by longitude, with a temporal range from January 1901 until December 2009 (Meyer-Christoffer et al., 2015). In order to determine yearly and seasonal rainfall trends, a statistical analysis was performed. The dataset was analysed for trend, and significance assessed with the Mann-Kendall non-parametric test (Mann, 1945; Kendall, 1962). The trends
slopes were calculated by least square linear fitting. A negative trend of the annual rainfall has been observed in Africa and in the Mediterranean basin. Conversely, a positive trend in the yearly precipitation has been detected in north Europe. The results confirm the evaluations of other studies, carried out on smaller spatial scales, which evidenced marked significant trend only for yearly precipitation.
Petronici, Francesca; Borgatti, Lisa; Cervi, Federico; Piccinini, Leonardo; Bonaga, Gilberto; Marcato, Gianluca, 2016, Hydrogeological monitoring and modelling in the S. Lorenzo road tunnel area (Passo della Morte, Udine) for the design of countermeasure works,
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 39 (2016): 93–96. doi_10.3301/ROL.2016.55,
DOI: 10.3301%2FROL.2016.55
Abstract
In the eastern Italian Alps, a large deep-seated rock block slide affects the S. Lorenzo ...
In the eastern Italian Alps, a large deep-seated rock block slide affects the S. Lorenzo road tunnel (46°23'49" N, 12°42'51" E) along the National Road 52 "Carnica", near to Passo della Morte (Udine Province); the tunnel was excavated through a fractured carbonatic rock mass overthrusted on clay-rich units. Previous studies of the unstable slope outlined the relationship between slope displacements and groundwater flow in the fractured rock mass. The conceptual geological model of the area, together with field observations, allowed specific investigation and monitoring activities to be defined in order to investigate this relationship. In particular, during the last years, six weirs were built and pressure transducers were installed in order to assess the total water discharge from the area. Moreover, 14 piezometers were drilled outside and inside the tunnel to monitor the hydraulic head. After 15 years of monitoring the groundwater system can be described in detail. In particular, results show a double flow system. The first is almost constant for all the year, while the second is influenced by rainfall events and is hosted in faults, fractures and joints in the western part of the tunnel, in the area of the larger and deep-seated rock slide. A three-dimensional groundwater flow model was built and calibrated along the total outflow from the road tunnel in order to better understand the interactions between groundwater flow and road infrastructure. In particular, the effects of countermeasures works, like the extension of the drainage adit in the carbonatic rock mass, was tested.
Cola, Simonetta; Gabrieli, Fabio; Marcato, Gianluca; Pasuto, Alessandro; Simonini, Paolo, 2016, Evolutionary behaviour of the Tessina landslide,
Rivista Italiana di Geotecnica 50 (2016): 51–70.,
Abstract
The Tessina Landslide, a complex movement which has been active for over the past 50 ...
The Tessina Landslide, a complex movement which has been active for over the past 50 years in the Alpago area of Belluno (Italy), was triggered in October 1960. As it is typical of Tertiary Flysch formations, its evolution has been characterized by periodical medium-large roto-translational slides in the source area evolving into earthflows, often jeopardizing the safety of the lower valley. Both the landslide and earth flows have been extensively monitored and studied over the past few decades. The main aim is a better understanding of their evolution mechanisms and the selection of appropriate mitigation strategies to reduce risk to the valley below. This paper presents data recorded by two real-time monitoring systems that have recently been installed in the area. The first system measures groundwater pressure and the displacements in a lateral section of the landslide that plays a crucial role in the stability of the entire area. The second, a new photogrammetric-based system which daily photographs the upper basin affected by the roto-translational movements, will permit us to evaluate the mechanisms triggering the earth flows. The data collected until now at the site have made it possible to better understand the stability of the various sections as well as the processes involved in earth flow formation. This information will make it possible to evaluate the effectiveness of future mitigation measures. Finally, a new black-box model that will predict the mobility of the lateral section of the landslide has been developed, and its performance has been compared to that of a viscous model commonly used to analyse slow-moving landslides.
Aye Z.C., Jaboyedoff M., Derron M.H., van Westen C.J., Hussin H.Y., Ciurean R.L., Frigerio S., Pasuto A., 2016, An interactive web-GIS based risk analysis tool_ a case study in the Fella River Basin, Italy,
Natural hazards and earth system sciences (Online) 16 (2016): 85–101. doi_10.5194/nhess-16-85-2016,
DOI: 10.5194%2Fnhess-16-85-2016
Abstract
This paper presents a prototype of an interactive web-GIS tool for risk analysis of natural ...
This paper presents a prototype of an interactive web-GIS tool for risk analysis of natural hazards, in particular for floods and landslides, based on open-source geospatial software and technologies. The aim of the presented tool is to assist the experts (risk managers) in analysing the impacts and consequences of a certain hazard event in a considered region, providing an essential input to the decision-making process in the selection of risk management strategies by responsible authorities and decision makers. This tool is based on the Boundless (OpenGeo Suite) framework and its clientside
environment for prototype development, and it is one of the main modules of a web-based collaborative decision support platform in risk management. Within this platform, the users can import necessary maps and information to analyze areas at risk. Based on provided information and parameters,
loss scenarios (amount of damages and number of fatalities) of a hazard event are generated on the fly and visualized interactively within the web-GIS interface of the platform. The annualized risk is calculated based on the combination of resultant loss scenarios with different return periods of the
hazard event. The application of this developed prototype is demonstrated using a regional data set from one of the case study sites, Fella River of northeastern Italy, of the Marie Curie ITN CHANGES project.
Lollino, P.; Giordan, D.; Allasia, P.; Pastor, M., 2016, Analysis of the propagation of a large earthflow by SPH technique application,
12th International Symposium on Landslides - Experience, Theory and Practice, pp. 1313–1321, June 2016,
Abstract
An intense reactivation of a large earthflow took place in Montaguto (Southern Apennines, Italy) between ...
An intense reactivation of a large earthflow took place in Montaguto (Southern Apennines, Italy) between 2005 and 2006, with a 2/2.5 km long run-out distance and a landslide mass thickness approximately ranging between 5 m and 30 m. The average landslide displacement rate was estimated to range between 3 and 7 m/day and important transport infrastructures were affected by large debris volumes deposited at the toe of the slope. In this work an application of the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics method has been carried out in order to simulate both the main features of the earthflow propagation, that is the direction and the thickness of the flowing mass, as well as to investigate some factors of the soil mechanical behavior that might have controlled the earthflow mobility. In particular, two different assumptions concerning the soil rheology, i.e. Bingham visco-plasticity and frictional-consolidating soil model, have been made for comparison purposes. Based on the experiences gained from previous authors concerning the in-situ features of similar earthflow soil masses, these landslides are thought to behave more as a viscous fluid during the very first stages of propagation due to phase transition processes and, later on, to recover a soil-like behavior due to soil consolidation processes. The SPH numerical results of the Montaguto earthflow propagation seem to be in good agreement with the field observations in terms of both movement direction, run-out distance and thickness of the debris soil mass. The modelling results confirm that these landslide processes can be efficiently modelled by means of the SPH numerical technique, providing that a soil rheology capable of taking into account the main features of the soil behavior that control the earthflow mobility is used.
Amanti, M.; Chiessi, V.; Guarino, P. M.; Spizzichino, D.; Troccoli, A.; Vizzini, G.; Fazio, N. L.; Lollino, P.; Parise, M.; Vennari, C., 2016, Back-analysis of a large earth-slide in stiff clays induced by intense rainfalls,
12th International Symposium on Landslides - Experience, Theory and Practice, pp. 317–324, June 2016,
Abstract
On December 2013, the town of Montescaglioso (Basilicata, Southern Italy), located at the top of ...
On December 2013, the town of Montescaglioso (Basilicata, Southern Italy), located at the top of a prominent hill within a highly landslide-prone setting, was affected by reactivation of a large earth-slide along the south-western slope. The slope is formed of stiff clays, belonging to the Argille Subappennine formation, covered by sands and conglomerates, with these latter being chaotically dislocated into arenaceous blocks resulting from ancient gravitational processes. The sliding movement started rapidly, accordingly to eyewitness accounts, and in a time span lower than 1 hour destroyed more than 500 m of the main road connecting the town of Montescaglioso to the Province Road SP175, and involved a few warehouses, a supermarket, and private homes. Surface displacement analysis jointly with detailed field surveys, and with visual analysis of post-event terrestrial and helicopter-based photographs, carried out soon afterward the landslide activation, allowed to identify the main effects produced by the slope movement, and to compile a map of the landslide surface deformations, aimed at identifying the landslide zones characterized by different kinematical features. Both geomorphological evidences and post-event inclinometric measurements have indicated that the failure surface has presumably developed at high depths and specifically in the clay substratum. Laboratory tests have been carried out for the characterization of the mechanical behavior of the clays involved in the sliding process. Both a two-dimensional and a three-dimensional finite element analysis were carried out in order to investigate the overall failure mechanism, the factors that could have controlled the landslide triggering and the spatial directivity of the landslide movement. The modeling results are in very good agreement with the observed landslide process as regards the conditions leading to the slope reactivation and the displacement field occurred in situ and highlight the role of the slope saturation as the main triggering factor of the landslide process.
SIMONE FIASCHI, MATTEO MANTOVANI, SIMONE FRIGERIO, GIANLUCA MARCATO, ALESSANDRO PASUTO, MARIO FLORIS, 2016, Testing the potential of Sentinel-1 TOPS interferometry for the detection and monitoring of landslides at local scale,
European Geosciences Union - General Assembly 2016, Vienna, 17-22 April 2016,
Abstract
The recent Sentinel-1 mission, started by ESA in April 2014, provides to the scientific community ...
The recent Sentinel-1 mission, started by ESA in April 2014, provides to the scientific community new capabilities for the continuous monitoring of the Earth. In particular, the Terrain Observation by Progressive Scans (TOPS) imaging technique used in the Interferometric Wide swath (IW) acquisition mode, allow us to acquire data over very wide areas (250 km swath) at 20m spatial resolution, with 12 days revisit time, making it suitable for ground displacement monitoring applications. With more than one year of SAR images available, it is now possible to carry out monitoring activities of slow moving phenomena such as landslides at both regional and local scales. In this work, we test the potential of Sentinel-1 InSAR for the monitoring of shallow landslides occurring in a densely vegetated area in the North-Eastern Italian Pre-Alps. The test area of about 25km2, is located in the Province of Vicenza (Veneto Region, NE Italy) and is characterized by elevations up to 700m a.s.l., low slope angles, and the outcropping of volcanic deposits (lavas, pyroclastites and ignimbrites) overlaid by eluvial and colluvial deposits. The entire area is affected by a large number of different instabilities, such as shallow soil slips, flows and rotational/translational slides that mainly occur after heavy rain. The landslides are damaging the buildings and the infrastructure, in particular the road network, causing high economic loss for the Municipality. The landslides monitoring activity is performed exploiting the available Sentinel-1 SAR images using both Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) and Persistent Scatterer (PS) techniques. Furthermore, we use the same techniques to process another SAR dataset made of 22 COSMO-SkyMed (CSK) X-band images acquired over the study area in the period March 2011 - September 2012. A first comparison of the results is performed in order to assess the landslides detection capabilities of the Sentinel-1 C-band in respect to the CSK X-band. Finally, the Sentinel- 1 results are cross-validated with the ERS-1/2 and ENVISAT PSI database available from "Portale Geografico Nazionale" allowing us to assess the quality of the obtained results in terms of data density and accuracy. The presented work shows the potential of the new Sentinel-1 TOPS mode interferometry in the monitoring of local scale ground instabilities in low urbanized territories pointing out what strengths and weaknesses emerged during the study activity.
Juliette Cortes Arevalo (1,4), Simone Sterlacchini (2), Thom Bogaard (1), Simone Frigerio (3), Sandra Junier (1),
Luca Schenato (3), and Nick van den Giesen (1), 2016, Use of volunteers’ information to support proactive inspection of hydraulic structures,
European Geosciences Union - general assembly 2016, Vienna, 17-22 April 2016,
Abstract
Proactive management is particularly important to deal with the increasing occurrence of hydro-meteorological hazards in ...
Proactive management is particularly important to deal with the increasing occurrence of hydro-meteorological hazards in mountain areas were threats are often caused by multiple and sudden onset hazards such as debris flows. Citizen volunteers can be involved in supporting technicians on inspecting the structures' functional status. Such collaborative effort between managing organizations and local volunteers becomes more important under limited resources. To consider volunteers' information in support of proactive inspection of hydraulic structures, we developed a methodology applicable in day-to-day risk management. At first, in collaboration with technicians-in-charge, a data collection approach was developed for first level or pre-screening visual inspections that can be performed by volunteers. Methods comprise of a data collection exercise, an inspection forms and a learning session based on existent procedures in the FVG region and neighbouring regions. To systematically evaluate the individual inspection reports, we designed a support method by means of a multi-criteria method with fuzzy terms. The method allows the technicians-in-charge to categorize the reports in one of three levels, each corresponding with a course of action. To facilitate the evaluation of inspection reports, we transformed the decision support method into a prototype Web-GIS application. The design process of the Web-GIS framework followed a user-centred approach. The conceptual design incorporates four modules for managing the inspection reports_ 1) Registered users, 2) Inspection planning; 3) Available reports and 4) Evaluation of reports. The development of the prototype focused on the evaluation module and was implemented based on standard and interoperable open source tools. Finally, we organized a workshop with technicians in the study area to test the decision support method and get insights about the usefulness of the Web-GIS framework. Participants that took part of the workshop included technicians that were not involved in previous research activities. The involvement of new technicians was important due to their fresh perspectives. We looked at the effect of the quality of the input reports on the output of the decision support method. In addition, we compared the differences in the participants' advice during the inspection and the output from the decision support method. Participants' feedback led to a set of suggested improvements in the decision support method and the web-GIS application. We hope that the knowledge, theory and concept behind this decision support method can be developed into a full-scale web-GIS application. The advantage of using this decision support method is that it allows inspections to be carried out by either skilled volunteers or technicians while ensuring technicians-in-charge that they can systematically evaluate the collected reports. Volunteers can become skilled inspectors by teaming up with technicians for the inspection of hydraulic structures. Technicians can become more aware about local impacts and changes in the structures' status by teaming up with volunteers.
Simone Frigerio, Luca Schenato, Giulia Bossi, Matteo Mantovani, Gianluca Marcato, and Alessandro Pasuto, 2016, MAppERS experience_ natural processes and preparedness in the societal context,
European Geosciences Union - general assembly 2016, Vienna, 17-22 April 2016,
Abstract
Within natural processes responsibilities from central authorities to local levels as first actors of civil ...
Within natural processes responsibilities from central authorities to local levels as first actors of civil protection is a changing pattern. Prevention and preparedness in natural hazards are long-term goals based on capacities of professional volunteers, and improving the awareness of the citizens as local inhabitants. Local people have impacts on their lives but training and involvement towards specific techniques change their role within risk communication and emergency preparedness. A collaborative user environment is useful for emergency response and support in the wake of disasters, feeding updated information on the ground directly to on-site responders. MAppERS (Mobile Application for Emergency Response and Support) is a funded project (2013-2015 Humanitarian Aid and Civil Protection, ECHO A5) based on human role as "crowd-sourced mappers" through smart phone application able to share GPS-localised and detailed parameters. The feedback from testing and the training courses aim to raising public awareness and participation in a networked disaster response. The project implies design and test of smart phone linked with a real-time dashboard platform for rescue services citizens and volunteers of civil protection. Two pilot sites, including trainings on modules functioning control usability and quality of the product. The synchronized platform offers the activity of cloud data collection with a central data dashboard. Information is collected in a context of floods processes, with crowdsourcing action from local population, for proper awareness with own personal flood plan and long-term preparedness. A second context tested pre-emergency actions on field with rescue team, collecting state-of-art and condition of hazards.
Federica Cotecchia, Francesca Santaloia, Piernicola Lollinob, Claudia Vitone, Francesco Cafaro, Osvaldo Bottiglieri, 2016, A geomechanical approach to landslide hazard assessment_ the Multiscalar Method for Landslide Mitigation,
VI ITALIAN CONFERENCE OF RESEARCHERS IN GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING - Geotechnical Engineering in Multidisciplinary Research_ from Microscale to Regional Scale, CNRIG2016, Bologna, 22-23/09/2016,
Abstract
The landslide hazard assessment, when based on the deterministic diagnosis of the processes, can be ...
The landslide hazard assessment, when based on the deterministic diagnosis of the processes, can be pursued only through the interpretation and the geo-hydro-mechanical modelling of the slope equilibrium. In practice, though, landslide hazard assessment is still seldom dealt with slope modelling, in particular when it addresses vast areas, where either heuristic or statistical methods do not entail any geo-hydro-mechanical knowledge of slope features and stability. The Multiscalar Method for Landslide Mitigation (MMLM) is an original methodological approach for intermediate to regional landslide hazard assessment. It is based on the geohydro-mechanical knowledge achieved from the application of a stage-wise diagnostic methodology of the landslide mechanism at the slope scale. The paper discusses the main steps of the MMLM aiming at diagnoses of landslide hazard based on hydromechanics, for small scale hazard mapping (at the large area).
Cotecchia F.; Vitone C.; Petti R.; Soriano I.; Santaloia F.; Lollino P., 2016, Slow landslides in urbanised clayey slopes_ An emblematic case from the south of Italy,
12th International Symposium on Landslides, pp. 691–698, Napoli, 12-19/06/2016,
Abstract
The paper presents the emblematic case of the Pianello slope, that is a complex landslide ...
The paper presents the emblematic case of the Pianello slope, that is a complex landslide basin located in the town centre of Bovino, one of the most beautiful villages in Italy. The low gradient slope is formed of highly tectonised and heterogeneous clays and it is affected by very slow and deep landsliding. The failure mechanisms are representative of many others not only in the Daunia area in the south of Italy, but also in the slopes of the Italian Apennines. The analysis resulted from field surveys, investigations and monitoring data as well as from the laboratory test results of the geotechnical investigation. The phenomenological interpretation of the landslide mechanism, along with the identification of the predisposing and triggering factors has been validated by both limit equilibrium and numerical analyses.
Santaloia F.[1], Zuffianò L.E.[1], Palladino G.[2], Limoni P.P.[1], D.Liotta D.[3,4], Minissale A.[5], Brogi A.[3], Polemio M.[1], 2016, Coastal thermal springs in a foreland setting_ The Santa CesareaTerme system (Italy),
Geothermics 64 (2016): 344–361. doi_10.1016/j.geothermics.2016.06.013,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.geothermics.2016.06.013
Abstract
Carbonate aquifers in foreland tectonic settings can host important thermal springs although located inareas commonly ...
Carbonate aquifers in foreland tectonic settings can host important thermal springs although located inareas commonly not characterized by regional high heat flow values. In these cases, when thermal springsare located close or along the coastlines the subaerial and/or submarine thermal springs constitute theoutflow of marine groundwater, flowing through localized fractures and karsitic rock-volumes. This isthe case of springs occurring along the south-easternmost portion of the Apulia region (Southern Italy)where few sulphurous and warm waters (22-33oC) outflow in partially submerged caves located alongthe shoreline, thus supplying the historical spas of Santa Cesarea Terme. Here, with the aim to define theorigin of the thermal fluids and their deep path, we carried out the geo-structural survey of the area anddetailed hydrogeological and geochemical analyses of the thermal spring fluids. In particular, the isotopes18O, D,13C in DIC,34Ssulphate,34Ssulphide,3He/4He ratio and13C in CO2were used to define the origin ofthe thermal water and the recharge mechanism of the geothermal system while the isotopes3H and14Cwere determined for estimating the age of the thermal waters, resulting in older than roughly twentythousands years BP. The results indicate that the thermal springs are fed by marine water, having reachedSanta Cesarea Terme through a localized fracture network. This affects the evaporitic and carbonatic rocksthat characterize the substratum of the Adriatic Sea in the offshore.
Cotecchia F.; Lollino P.; Petti R., 2016, Efficacy of drainage trenches to stabilise deep slow landslides in clay slopes,
Ge´otechnique letters (2016). doi_10.1680/jgele.15.00065,
DOI: 10.1680%2Fjgele.15.00065
Abstract
The paper reports the results of a research aiming at the definition of innovative strategies ...
The paper reports the results of a research aiming at the definition of innovative strategies to mitigate the risk generated by deep landsliding due to the slope-atmosphere interaction. The aim stems from the recognition of the connection between the accelerations of deep slow landslides and the seasonal fluctuations of the piezometric heads found to occur down to large depths in slopes, effect of seasonal cumulated rainfall infiltration, as verified in previous research studies for fissured clay slopes of the Italian southern Apennines. Given this slope behavior, the effects as stabilizing measure of systems of drainage trenches, from medium depth to deep, have been verified through the combination of finite element modeling of seepage and limit equilibrium analyses. The model results show that the trench system generates a 'group effect' on the piezometric heads at large depth, due to which the maximum drop in piezometric head occurs along the portion of maximum depth of spoon-shaped slip surfaces underlying the trench system. Hence, the reduction in piezometric head generated by the trench system
makes such system an effective mitigation measure for deep landsliding. In the paper, the stabilizing effect of the trench system is also verified through its modeling for a deep landslide case history.
De Novellis, Vincenzo; Castaldo, Raffaele; Lollino, Piernicola; Manunta, Michele; Tizzani, Pietro, 2016, Advanced three-dimensional finite element modeling of a slow landslide through the exploitation of DInSAR measurements and in situ surveys,
Remote sensing (Basel) 8 (2016). doi_10.3390/rs8080670,
DOI: 10.3390%2Frs8080670
Abstract
In this paper, we propose an advanced methodology to perform three-dimensional (3D) Finite Element (FE) ...
In this paper, we propose an advanced methodology to perform three-dimensional (3D) Finite Element (FE) modeling to investigate the kinematical evolution of a slow landslide phenomenon. Our approach benefits from the effective integration of the available geological, geotechnical and satellite datasets to perform an accurate simulation of the landslide process. More specifically, we fully exploit the capability of the advanced Differential Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (DInSAR) technique referred to as the Small BAseline Subset (SBAS) approach to provide spatially dense surface displacement information. Subsequently, we analyze the physical behavior characterizing the observed landslide phenomenon by means of an inverse analysis based on an optimization procedure. We focus on the Ivancich landslide phenomenon, which affects a residential area outside the historical center of the town of Assisi (Central Italy). Thanks to the large amount of available information, we have selected this area as a representative case study highlighting the capability of advanced 3D FE modeling to perform effective risk analyses of slow landslide processes and accurate urban development planning. In particular, the FE modeling is constrained by using the data from 7 litho-stratigraphic cross-sections and 62 stratigraphic boreholes; and the optimization procedure is carried out using the SBAS-DInSAR retrieved results by processing 39 SAR images collected by the Cosmo-SkyMed (CSK) constellation in the 2009-2012 time span. The achieved results allow us to explore the spatial and temporal evolution of the slow-moving phenomenon and via comparison with the geomorphological data, to derive a synoptic view of the kinematical activity of the urban area affected by the Ivancich landslide.
Luca Piciullo(1), Stefano Luigi Gariano(2,3)(*), Massimo Melillo(2), Maria Teresa Brunetti(2), Silvia Peruccacci(2), Fausto Guzzetti(2), Michele Calvello(1), 2016, Definition and performance of a threshold-based regional early warning model for rainfall-induced landslides,
Landslides (Berl., Internet) (2016). doi_10.1007/s10346-016-0750-2,
DOI: 10.1007%2Fs10346-016-0750-2
Abstract
A process chain for the definition and the performance assessment of an operational regional warning ...
A process chain for the definition and the performance assessment of an operational regional warning model for rainfall-induced landslides, based on rainfall thresholds, is proposed and tested in a landslide prone area in the Campania region, southern Italy. A database of 96 shallow landslides triggered by rainfall in the period 2003-2010 and rainfall data gathered from 58 rain gauges are used. First, a set of rainfall threshold equations are defined applying a well-known frequentist method to all the reconstructed rainfall conditions responsible for the documented landslides in the area of analysis. Several thresholds at different exceedance probabilities (percentiles) are evaluated and 9 different percentiles combinations are selected for the activation of 3 warning levels. Subsequently, for each combination, the issuing of warning levels is computed by comparing, over time, the measured rainfall with the pre-defined warning level thresholds. Finally, the optimal percentiles combination to be employed in the regional early warning system, i.e., the one providing the best model performance in terms of success and error indicators, is selected employing the "event, duration matrix, performance" (EDuMaP) method.
Mauro Rossi, Paola Reichenbach, 2016, LAND-SE: a software for statistically based landslide susceptibility zonation, version 1.0,
Geoscientific model development (Online) 9 (2016): 3533–3543. doi_10.5194/gmd-9-3533-2016,
DOI: 10.5194%2Fgmd-9-3533-2016
Abstract
TS1Landslide susceptibility (LS) assessment provides a relative estimate of landslide spatial occurrence based on local ...
TS1Landslide susceptibility (LS) assessment provides a relative estimate of landslide spatial occurrence based on local terrain conditions. A literature review revealed that LS evaluation has been performed in many study areas 5 worldwide using different methods, model types, different partition of the territory (mapping units) and a large variety of geo-environmental data. Among the different methods, statistical models have been largely used to evaluate LS, but the minority of articles presents a complete and comprehensive LS assessment that includes model performance analysis, prediction skills evaluation, and estimation of the errors and uncertainty. The aim of this paper is to describe LAND-SE (LANDslide Susceptibility Evaluation) software that performs susceptibility modelling and zonation using statistical models, quantifies the model performances, and the associated uncertainty. The software is implemented in R, a free software environment for statistical computing and graphics. This provides users with the possibility to implement and improve the code with additional models, evaluation tools, or output
types. The paper describes the software structure, explains input and output, and illustrates specific applications with maps and graphs. The LAND-SE script is delivered with a basic user guide and three example data sets.
RAGO V. (1), CONFORTI M. (2), CALOIERO P. (1), IOVINE G. (1), TERRANOVA O. (1), MUTO F. (3), PASCALE S. (1), 2016, Problematiche di valutazione della suscettibilità da frana. L’esempio del bacino del torrente Turbolo (Calabria settentrionale),
Geologi Marche 57 (2016): 4–44.,
Abstract
Si descrive un esempio di applicazione di quattro metodi d'analisi, di cui uno (SMC) ascrivibile ...
Si descrive un esempio di applicazione di quattro metodi d'analisi, di cui uno (SMC) ascrivibile all'approccio euristico e tre (HI, LR, e ANN) a quello geo-statistico, per la redazione di mappe di suscettibilità da frana in un bacino sperimentale della Calabria settentrionale (torrente Turbolo). Lo studio si articola in diverse fasi, comprendenti l'acquisizione, l'organizzazione e la successiva elaborazione dei dati in ambiente GIS. Sono state inizialmente redatte una carta inventario delle frane e le mappe dei fattori predisponenti, costituenti i livelli informativi di input delle procedure di analisi. I diversi metodi di analisi sono stati quindi applicati all'area di studio_ dopo un'adeguata fase di inizializzazione/calibrazione dei modelli, e successiva validazione, sono state realizzate le mappe di suscettibilità per ciascuno dei metodi considerati. Si descrivono brevemente i risultati e si confrontano le potenzialità e i limiti dei diversi metodi impiegati. Emerge la rilevanza di un'approfondita conoscenza specialistica delle problematiche territoriali per un adeguato impiego delle tecniche di modellazione ai fini sia di una corretta pianificazione sia di un'efficace azione di protezione civile.
Koster, R.D., Brocca, L., Crow, W.T., Burgin, M.S., De Lannoy, G.J.M., 2016, Precipitation Estimation Using L-Band and C-Band Soil Moisture Retrievals,
Water resources research 52 (2016): 7213–7225. doi_10.1002/2016WR019024,
DOI: 10.1002%2F2016WR019024
Abstract
An established methodology for estimating precipitation amounts from satellite-based soil moisture retrievals is applied to ...
An established methodology for estimating precipitation amounts from satellite-based soil moisture retrievals is applied to L-band products from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) and Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) satellite missions and to a C-band product from the Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) mission. The precipitation estimates so obtained are evaluated against in situ (gauge-based) precipitation observations from across the globe. The precipitation estimation skill achieved using the L-band SMAP and SMOS datasets is higher than that obtained with the C-band product, as might be expected given that L-band is sensitive to a thicker layer of soil and thereby provides more information on the response of soil moisture to precipitation. The square of the correlation coefficient between the SMAP-based precipitation estimates and the observations (for aggregations to ~100 km and 5 days) is on average about 0.6 in areas of high rain gauge density. Satellite missions specifically designed to monitor soil moisture thus do provide significant information on precipitation variability, information that could contribute to efforts in global precipitation estimation.
Schenato, L.; Pasuto, A.; Garbin, E.; Modena, C.; Palmieri, L.; Galtarossa, A., 2016, Fiber optic distributed strain sensing for open-holes specimen axial tests,
2016 Fotonica AEIT Italian Conference on Photonics Technologies, pp. 1–4, Roma, 6-8 June 2016,
Abstract
We have applied a commercial optical frequency domain reflectometer with high spatial resolution to measure ...
We have applied a commercial optical frequency domain reflectometer with high spatial resolution to measure the strain exerted on an aluminum specimen under tensile strength (open hole) test. The strain profile has been measured until failure by means of an optical fiber and by ten standard electric strain gauges. The matching between the measurement data provided by the two techniques at the strain gauges positions is excellent, except in the proximity of the hole, where the strain gradient is maximum. Due to that, a precise correspondence between optical fiber and strain gauges position near the hole is
mandatory in order to measure the same strain value. The resolution attainable by the optical system, that has not counterpart in any electrical systems, enables an unprecedented spatial sampling, thus allowing a much better characterization of the strain profile along the sample.
Tiranti D.; Cavalli M.; Crema S.; Zerbato M.; Graziadei M.; Barbero S.; Cremonini R.; Silvestro C.; Bodrato G.; Tresso F., 2016, Semi-quantitative method for the assessment of debris supply from slopes to river in ungauged catchments,
Science of the total environment 554-555 (2016): 337–348. doi_10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.02.150,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.scitotenv.2016.02.150
Abstract
This paper presents an integrated empirical methodology for assessing the amount of sediment transported from ...
This paper presents an integrated empirical methodology for assessing the amount of sediment transported from slopes to the main river in absence of a sediment transport monitoring system. The amount of transported sediment is calculated through the characterization of the sediment source areas including the identification of the slope phenomena responsible for the sediment propagation to the main river_ shallow landslides, channelized debris flows and deep-seated rotational slides. On this basis, several scenarios related to the climatic conditions are defined_ they indicate the number of possible slope phenomena and potential volumes of mobilized unconsolidated material from sediment source areas to the main river. This methodology was finalized and tested in the Maira River basin (south-western Italian Alps) with quite good results.
Espejo-Pérez, Antonio Jesús; Brocca, Luca; Moramarco, Tommaso; Giráldez, Juan V.; Giráldez, Juan V.; Triantafilis, John; Vanderlinden, Karl, 2016, Analysis of soil moisture dynamics beneath olive trees,
Hydrological processes (Print) (2016). doi_10.1002/hyp.10907,
DOI: 10.1002%2Fhyp.10907
Abstract
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Tourian, M. J.; Tarpanelli, A.; Elmi, O.; Qin, T.; Brocca, L.; Moramarco, T.; Sneeuw, N., 2016, Spatiotemporal densification of river water level time series by multimission satellite altimetry,
Water resources research (2016). doi_10.1002/2015WR017654,
DOI: 10.1002%2F2015WR017654
Abstract
Limitations of satellite radar altimetry for operational hydrology include its spatial and temporal sampling as ...
Limitations of satellite radar altimetry for operational hydrology include its spatial and temporal sampling as well as measurement problems caused by local topography and heterogeneity of the reflecting surface. In this study, we develop an approach that eliminates most of these limitations to produce an approximately 3 day temporal resolution water level time series from the original typically (sub)monthly data sets for the Po River in detail, and for Congo, Mississippi, and Danube Rivers. We follow a geodetic approach by which, after estimating and removing intersatellite biases, all virtual stations of several satellite altimeters are connected hydraulically and statistically to produce water level time series at any location along the river. We test different data-selection strategies and validate our method against the extensive available in situ data over the Po River, resulting in an average correlation of 0.7, Root-Mean-Square Error of 0.8 m, bias of -0.4 m, and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient of 0.5. We validate the transferability of our method by applying it to the Congo, Mississippi, and Danube Rivers, which have very different geomorphological and climatic conditions. The methodology yields correlations above 0.75 and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients of 0.84 (Congo), 0.34 (Mississippi), and 0.35 (Danube).
Mantovani M.; Devoto S.; Piacentini D.; Prampolini M.; Soldati M.; Pasuto A., 2016, Advanced SAR interferometric analysis to support geomorphological interpretation of slow-moving coastal landslides (Malta, Mediterranean Sea),
Remote sensing (Basel) 8 (2016). doi_10.3390/rs8060443,
DOI: 10.3390%2Frs8060443
Abstract
An advanced SAR interferometric analysis has been combined with a methodology for the automatic classification ...
An advanced SAR interferometric analysis has been combined with a methodology for the automatic classification of radar reflectors phase histories to interpret slope-failure kinematics and trend of displacements of slow-moving landslides. To accomplish this goal, the large dataset of radar images, acquired in more than 20 years by the two European Space Agency (ESA) missions ERS-1/2 and ENVISAT, was exploited. The analysis was performed over the northern sector of Island of Malta (central Mediterranean Sea), where extensive landslides occur. The study was assisted by field surveys and with the analysis of existing thematic maps and landslide inventories. The outcomes allowed definition of a model capable of describing the geomorphological evolution of slow-moving landslides, providing a key for interpreting such phenomena that, due to their slowness, are usually scarcely investigated.
Morbidelli, Renato; Saltalippi, Carla; Flammini, Alessia; Corradini, Corrado; Brocca, Luca; Govindaraju, Rao S., 2016, An investigation of the effects of spatial heterogeneity of initial soil moisture content on surface runoff simulation at a small watershed scale,
Journal of hydrology (Amst.) 539 (2016): 589–598. doi_10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.05.067,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.jhydrol.2016.05.067
Abstract
[object Object] ...
[object Object]
Schenato, L.; Pasuto, A.; Galtarossa; A.; Palmieri, L., 2016, Optical fiber load sensor based on a semi-auxetic structure_ a proof of concept,
European Workshop on Optical Fibre Sensors 2016, pp. 1–4, Limerick - IR, 31/05-03/06/2016,
Abstract
In this work a quasi-distributed optical fiber load sensor based on a semi-auxetic structure is ...
In this work a quasi-distributed optical fiber load sensor based on a semi-auxetic structure is presented. By concatenating sections with positive Poisson's ratio to sections with negative one it is possible to precisely encode the distributed load into a strain exerted on a fiber. The sensor is described and a simple proof of concept is built and tested. The fiber is interrogated by means of optical frequency domain reflectometry. The proposed sensor represents just one example of the potential applications of auxetic and semi-auxetic structures and materials in optical fiber sensors development.
Ciabatta, Luca; Brocca, Luca; Massari, Christian; Moramarco, Tommaso; Gabellani, Simone; Puca, Silvia; Wagner, Wolfgang, 2016, Rainfall-runoff modelling by using SM2RAIN-derived and state-of-the-art satellite rainfall products over Italy,
ITC journal 48 (2016): 163–173. doi_10.1016/j.jag.2015.10.004,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.jag.2015.10.004
Abstract
Satellite rainfall products (SRPs) are becoming more accurate with ever increasing spatial and temporal resolution. ...
Satellite rainfall products (SRPs) are becoming more accurate with ever increasing spatial and temporal resolution. This evolution can be beneficial for hydrological applications, providing new sources of information and allowing to drive models in ungauged areas. Despite the large availability of rainfall satellite data, their use in rainfall-runoff modelling is still very scarce, most likely due to measurement issues (bias, accuracy) and the hydrological community acceptability of satellite products.
Santi, Emanuele; Paloscia, Simonetta; Pettinato, Simone; Brocca, Luca; Ciabatta, Luca, 2016, Robust Assessment of an Operational Algorithm for the Retrieval of Soil Moisture from AMSR-E Data in Central Italy,
IEEE journal of selected topics in applied earth observations and remote sensing (Print) 9 (2016): 2478–2492. doi_10.1109/JSTARS.2016.2575361,
DOI: 10.1109%2FJSTARS.2016.2575361
Abstract
[object Object] ...
[object Object]
Schenato, L.; Bossi, G.; Marcato, G.; Pasuto A., 2016, Cumulative monitoring of strain in concrete structures with polymer optical fibers,
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 39 (2016): 19–22. doi_10.3301/ROL.2016.37,
DOI: 10.3301%2FROL.2016.37
Abstract
An alternative approach to spatial sampling of strain and displacement, other than point-wise and distributed, ...
An alternative approach to spatial sampling of strain and displacement, other than point-wise and distributed, is here proposed to the aim of crack monitoring in civil structures. The addressed method
exploits a low cost optical technique for the measurement of the cumulative deformation of a polymer optical fibre (POF), used as a sensing element and is suitable for both dynamic and static measurements.
Main features of this approach are the limited cost, the large dynamic deformation range enabled by POF, the large area covered by a single sensor, ruggedness and easiness of handling. The feasibility of the
approach is demonstrated in a real test site scenario, in which the sensing system is used for long-term monitoring of cracks originated inside a road tunnel impacted by a landslide. Some general considerations will be also drawn about the possible application of that sensing system to the monitoring of physical measurands of geo-technical interest, other than strain.
Brocca, Luca; Massari, Christian; Ciabatta, Luca; Wagner, Wolfgang; Stoffelen, Ad, 2016, Remote Sensing of Terrestrial Rainfall from Ku-Band Scatterometers,
IEEE journal of selected topics in applied earth observations and remote sensing (Print) 9 (2016): 533–539. doi_10.1109/JSTARS.2015.2508065,
DOI: 10.1109%2FJSTARS.2015.2508065
Abstract
Rainfall is the most fundamental variable of the terrestrial hydrological cycle. However, in many regions ...
Rainfall is the most fundamental variable of the terrestrial hydrological cycle. However, in many regions of the world, ground observations are still very scarce or even missing. Recently, a bottom-up approach, named SM2RAIN, for terrestrial rainfall estimation from satellite soil moisture (SM) products was proposed and successfully applied to C-and L-band products from scatterometers and radiometers. Thanks to the multiple Ku-band scatterometers launched in the recent years and a number of new sensors expected in the near future, accurate rainfall estimation at subdaily time scale could be obtained. We present here a first attempt to estimate terrestrial rainfall from Ku-band scatterometers using SM2RAIN. To this end, backscattering data (sigma-0) collected in central Italy from the RapidScat instrument on board the International Space Station are compared with the Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT, C-band) SM product and in situ observations for assessing its sensitivity to SM variations. Then, RapidScat sigma-0 is used for rainfall retrieval and compared with ground observations over a regular grid of 15-km spacing. The 8-month period from Nov 2014 to Jun 2015 is considered. Results show a very good agreement between ASCAT SM and RapidScat SM index with a median temporal correlation coefficient R of ~0.9 and a reasonable performance (R > 0.52) against in situ data. More interestingly, the performance of RapidScat in 1-day rainfall estimation is found to be satisfactory with median R-values equal to ~0.6. These promising results highlight the large potential of using the constellation of scatterometers for providing an accurate rainfall product with high spatial-Temporal resolution.
Schenato L., Aneesh R., Palmieri L., Galtarossa A., Pasuto A., 2016, Fiber optic sensor for hydrostatic pressure and temperature measurement in riverbanks monitoring,
Optics and Laser Technology 82 (2016): 57–62. doi_10.1016/j.optlastec.2016.02.015,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.optlastec.2016.02.015
Abstract
An optical fibre sensor for the simultaneous measurement of hydrostatic pressure and temperature in soil ...
An optical fibre sensor for the simultaneous measurement of hydrostatic pressure and temperature in soil embankments is presented. It exploits the differential strain induced on a fibre in a dual-chamber case, constituting the sensor body. The strain, either induced by the pressure or by the temperature, is optically measured by means of coherent frequency domain reflectometry and variations induced by the two physical phenomena are discriminated because of the different behavior of the two chambers. Characterization of the sensor is presented and discussed. The prototype shows promising performance_ temperature and pressure sensitivities are approximately -7 GHz/°C and -3.2 GHz/kPa respectively, with accuracies of 0.5 °C and 0.3 kPa.
Gumuzzio, A.; Brocca, L.; Sánchez, N.; González-Zamora, A.; Martínez-Fernández, J., 2016, Comparison of SMOS, modelled and in situ long-term soil moisture series in the northwest of Spain,
Hydrological sciences journal (2016): 1–16. doi_10.1080/02626667.2016.1151981,
DOI: 10.1080%2F02626667.2016.1151981
Abstract
This work aimed to evaluate the capability of modelled vs in situ soil moisture observations ...
This work aimed to evaluate the capability of modelled vs in situ soil moisture observations in the northwest of Spain for a period of four years (2010-2013) in order to validate the SMOS L2 product. Comparisons were performed for a set of representative stations of the Soil Moisture Measurement Stations network of the University of Salamanca (REMEDHUS) at both point and area scales. The SMOS series showed good correlation with the modelled series, better than that obtained with the in situ observations (0.77 vs 0.68 average correlation coefficients). However, some underestimation or overestimation of the SMOS series, related to the soil characteristics, was observed with respect to both the in situ and the modelled series. The SMOS data normalization produced a notable improvement in the results, highlighting the capability of the modelled data to validate the SMOS soil moisture series. This research provides a solid foundation for the future validation of SMOS at large scales, overcoming the spatial representativeness issues arising from the use of in situ point measurements.EDITOR M.C. Acreman; ASSOCIATE EDITOR N. Verhoest
Lorenzo Marchi, 2016, Esperienze di monitoraggio delle colate detritiche_ bacini sperimentali ed indagini post-evento,
52° Corso di Cultura in Ecologia, San Vito di Cadore (BL), 6-8/6/2016,
Abstract
Il monitoraggio delle colate detritiche in bacini attrezzati
Finalità
Strumentazione e variabili rilevate
Alcune aree di monitoraggio
Cenno ai ...
Il monitoraggio delle colate detritiche in bacini attrezzati
Finalità
Strumentazione e variabili rilevate
Alcune aree di monitoraggio
Cenno ai sistemi di allarme
Il monitoraggio post-evento in aree interessate da colate detritiche e non provviste di strumentazione
Conclusioni
Macconi, P., Marchi, L., Comiti, F., Cavalli, M., 2016, Murenbeobachtungsstation am Gadriabach in Südtirol,
Wildbach und Lawinenverbau 177 (2016): 132–138.,
Abstract
...
Abera, Wuletawu; Brocca, Luca; Rigon, Riccardo, 2016, Comparative evaluation of different satellite rainfall estimation products and bias correction in the Upper Blue Nile (UBN) basin,
Atmospheric research (Print) 178-179 (2016): 471–483. doi_10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.04.017,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.atmosres.2016.04.017
Abstract
In a region where ground-based gauge data are scarce, satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) are a ...
In a region where ground-based gauge data are scarce, satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) are a viable option for proper space-time rainfall characterization. However, their accuracy and performances vary from region to region, and must be assessed. In this study, five high resolution satellite products (3B42V7, CMORPH, TAMSAT, SM2R-CCI, and CFSR) are compared and analyzed using the available rain gauge data in one of the most topographically and climatologically complex basin of Africa, the Upper Blue Nile basin (UBN). The basin rainfall is investigated systematically, and it is found that, at some locations, the difference in mean annual rainfall estimates between these SREs could be as much as about 2700 mm. Considering three goodness-of-fit indexes, correlation, bias and root mean square error (RMSE) between the SREs and ground-based gauge rainfall, CMORPH, TAMSAT and SM2R-CCI outperform the other two. Furthermore, a confusion matrix is used to investigate the detection ability of satellite rainfall products for different rainfall intensities. TAMSAT has the highest (91%) detection skill for dry days, followed by CFSR (77%). On the contrary, SM2R-CCI has the highest accuracy index for medium rainfall ranges (10-20 mm). The empirical cumulative distribution (ecdf) mapping technique is used to correct the intensities distribution givenby the SREs. This method provides a means to improve the rainfall estimation of all SREs, and the highest improvement is obtained for CMORPH (bias reduction from - 72% to - 1%).
M. Borga, L. Marchi, E. Destro, 2016, La piena improvvisa del 2 agosto 2014 nel bacino del torrente Lierza (Treviso),
2016,
Abstract
Nella serata del 2 agosto 2014 il bacino del torrente Lierza, nella parte settentrionale della ...
Nella serata del 2 agosto 2014 il bacino del torrente Lierza, nella parte settentrionale della provincia di Treviso, è stato interessato da un evento meteorico di breve durata ed eccezionale intensità. La piena generata da tali precipitazioni ha portato all'esondazione del torrente in numerosi tratti del suo corso; si sono avute quattro vittime fra i partecipanti ad una festa nel Comune di Refrontolo, presso la località Molinetto della Croda.
Il rapporto espone i risultati di una serie di rilievi e di analisi modellistiche relative all'evento di piena. In particolare, vengono illustrati i seguenti punti_
-analisi della distribuzione spazio-temporale delle piogge e valutazione del loro tempo di ritorno;
-valutazione del picco di piena ed analisi della risposta idrologica;
-analisi del trasporto solido e della dinamica d'alveo;
-analisi dei processi di instabilità dei versanti.
Zoccatelli D., Borga M., Marchi L. e Amponsah W., 2016, Characterisation of selected extreme flash floods in the Mediterranean region and implications for flood risk management,
Giornate dell'Idrologia 2016, Trento, 27-29/06/2016,
Abstract
The occurrence of flash flooding is of concern in hydrologic and natural hazards science due ...
The occurrence of flash flooding is of concern in hydrologic and natural hazards science due to the top ranking of such events among natural disasters in terms of both the number of people affected globally and the proportion of individual fatalities. On the average, these events cause more casualties worldwide than any other natural disaster, with an average rate of 5000 deaths per year (Douben, 2006). The potential for flash flood casualties and damages is also increasing in many regions due to the social and economic development bringing pressure on land use. Furthermore, evidence of increasing heavy precipitation at continental (Groisman et al., 2004) and global scales (Groisman et al., 2005) supports the view that the global hydrological cycle is intensifying as the planet warms. As a consequence, the flash flood hazard is expected to increase in frequency and severity in many areas, through the impacts of global change on climate, storm-weather systems and river discharge conditions.
This work aims to provide a characterisation of flash flood events in the Mediterranean basin over various time and spatial scales, in order to characterise these events in terms of flood generating rainfall, peak discharges, runoff coefficient and response time, and to use the insight gained with this analysis to identify implications for flash flood risk management.
High-resolution data enabling identification and analysis of the hydrometeorological causative processes of flash floods have been collected and analysed for 20 extreme flash floods occurred in Mediterranean countries. Criteria for flood selection were high intensity of triggering rainfall and flood response and availability of high-resolution reliable data. Hydrometeorological data collected and collated for each event were checked by using a hydrological model. The derivation and analysis of summarising variables based on the data archive has made it possible to outline specific characteristics of flash floods in the Mediterranean basin. Peak discharge data for more than 75% of the studied watersheds derive from post-flood surveys in ungauged streams. This stresses both the significance of post-flood surveys in building and extending flash flood data bases, and the need to continue developing methods for flash-flood hazard assessment able to take into account data from post-event analysis. Examination of data shows a peculiar seasonality effect on flash flood occurrence, revealing different climatic forcing. Consistently with this seasonality effect, spatial extent and duration are also varying. The runoff coefficients of the studied flash floods are usually rather low (less than 0.5 in most of the cases). Antecedent saturation conditions have a significant impact on event runoff coefficients, showing the influence of initial soil moisture status even on extreme flash flood events and stressing the importance of accounting soil moisture for operational flash flood forecasting. These results challenge the common wisdom that antecedent soil moisture is of little importance in determining the magnitude of extreme flash floods. Hence, accounting for antecedent soil moisture conditions is paramount for operational flash flood forecasting. The runoff response displays short lag times (mostly < 6 hours). The analysis of the response time provides information on the time resolution and the spatial density of the networks required for monitoring the storms that generate flash floods.
Lorenzo Marchi, Marco Cavalli, Stefano Crema, 2016, Attività di studio sulla piena del 14 settembre 2015 nei bacini dei fiumi Trebbia e Nure,
Giornata di studio "L'evento alluvionale del 14 settembre 2015 nel Piacentino", Parma, 12 maggio 2016,
Abstract
I nostri obiettivi nello studio della piena del settembre 2015
oAmpliare il database sulle piene improvvise ...
I nostri obiettivi nello studio della piena del settembre 2015
oAmpliare il database sulle piene improvvise in Europa e nella regione Mediterranea (quantità e distribuzione delle piogge, portate unitarie di picco, coefficienti di deflusso, tempi di ritardo...)
oStudiare le variazioni morfologiche degli alvei indotte dalla piena in relazione alle forzanti idrauliche (ad esempio_ potenza della corrente), alle condizioni morfologiche (ad esempio_ confinamento degli alvei) ed ai processi di erosione e di instabilità delle sponde
oAnalizzare le interazioni fra la vegetazione, il trasporto di legname e l'evoluzione morfologica degli alvei
Analisi idrometeorologica_ attività in corso e previste
oDeterminazione delle piogge dell'evento (radar meteorologici di Monte Settepani e Gattatico): merging dei due strumenti e bias-adjustment
oAnalisi dell'incertezza delle stime indirette di portata
oConfronto con i dati di portata lungo le aste fluviali principali
oModellazione afflussi-deflussi e confronto con la ricostruzione delle portate di picco dalle tracce dell'evento
oIntegrazione con lo studio delle variazioni morfologiche degli alvei e della dinamica del sedimento
Jalal Samia (1,3), Arnaud Temme (2,3), Arnold Bregt (1), Jakob Wallinga (2), Fausto Guzzetti (4), Francesca Ardizzone (4), Mauro Rossi (4), 2016, Do landslides follow landslides? Insights in path dependency from a multi-temporal landslide inventory,
Landslides (Berl., Internet) (2016). doi_10.1007/s10346-016-0739-x,
DOI: 10.1007%2Fs10346-016-0739-x
Abstract
Landslides are a major category of natural disasters, causing loss of lives, livelihoods and property. ...
Landslides are a major category of natural disasters, causing loss of lives, livelihoods and property. The critical roles played by triggering (such as extreme rainfall and earthquakes), and intrinsic factors (such as slope steepness, soil properties and lithology) have previously successfully been recognized and quantified using a variety of qualitative, quantitative and hybrid methods in a wide range of study sites. However, available data typically do not allow to investigate the effect that earlier landslides have on intrinsic factors and hence on follow-up landslides. Therefore, existing methods cannot account for the potentially complex susceptibility changes caused by landslide events. In this study, we used a substantially different alternative approach to shed light on the potential effect of earlier landslides using a multitemporal dataset of landslide occurrence containing 17 time slices. Spatial overlap and the time interval between landslides play key roles in our work. We quantified the degree to which landslides preferentially occur in locations where landslides occurred previously, how long such an effect is noticeable, and how landslides are spatially associated over time. We also investigated whether overlap with previous landslides causes differences in landslide geometric properties. We found that overlap among landslides demonstrates a clear legacy effect (path dependency) that has influence on the landslide affected area. Landslides appear to cause greater susceptibility for follow-up landslides over a period of about 10 years. Follow-up landslides are on average larger and rounder than landslides that do not follow earlier slides. The effect of earlier landslides on follow-up landslides has implications for understanding of the landslides evolution and the assessment of landslide susceptibility.
Gariano S.L. (a,b), Guzzetti F. (a), 2016, Landslides in a changing climate,
Earth-science reviews 162 (2016): 227–252. doi_10.1016/j.earscirev.2016.08.011,
DOI: 10.1016%2Fj.earscirev.2016.08.011
Abstract
Warming of the Earth climate system is unequivocal. That climate changes affect the stability of ...
Warming of the Earth climate system is unequivocal. That climate changes affect the stability of natural and engineered slopes and have consequences on landslides, is also undisputable. Less clear is the type, extent, magnitude and direction of the changes in the stability conditions, and on the location, abundance, activity and frequency of landslides in response to the projected climate changes. Climate and landslides act at only partially overlapping spatial and temporal scales, complicating the evaluation of the climate impacts on landslides. We review the literature on landslide-climate studies, and find a bias in their geographical distribution, with large parts of the world not investigated. We recommend to fill the gap with new studies in Asia, South America, and Africa. We examine advantages and limits of the approaches adopted to evaluate the effects of climate variations on landslides, including prospective modelling and retrospective methods that use landslide and climate records. We consider changes in temperature, precipitation, wind and weather systems, and their direct and indirect effects on the stability of single slopes, and we use a probabilistic landslide hazard model to appraise regional landslide changes. Our review indicates that the modelling results of landslide-climate studies depend more on the emission scenarios, the Global Circulation Models, and the methods to downscale the climate variables, than on the description of the variables controlling slope processes. We advocate for constructing ensembles of projections based on a range of emissions scenarios, and to use carefully results from worst-case scenarios that may over/under-estimate landslide hazards and risk. We further advocate that uncertainties in the landslide projections must be quantified and communicated to decision makers and the public. We perform a preliminary global assessment of the future landslide impact, and we present a global map of the projected impact of climate change on landslide activity and abundance. Where global warming is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of severe rainfall events, a primary trigger of rapid-moving landslides that cause many landslide fatalities, we predict an increase in the number of people exposed to landslide risk. Finally, we give recommendations for landslide adaptation and risk reduction strategies in the framework of a warming climate.
Polemio M. & Zuffianò L.E., 2016, Management of groundwater at salinisation risk,
88° Congresso SGI, Napoli 2016, pp. 793–793, Napoli, 7-9 settembre 2016,
Abstract
Natural waters contain dissolved minerals from interactions with atmospheric and soil gases, mixing with other
solutions, ...
Natural waters contain dissolved minerals from interactions with atmospheric and soil gases, mixing with other
solutions, and/or interactions with the biosphere and lithosphere. In many cases, these processes result in natural waters
containing solute or salinity above concentrations recommended for a specified use, which creates significant social and
economic problems.
There are different measures, actions and practices for managing groundwater when the natural resource is exposed
to salinization. Some of these measures have a mitigation objective. Other measures have a more adaptive approach and
accept the high groundwater salinity but adjusting the groundwater use so that it is not harmful.
Moving from the lowest to the highest complexity, these approaches are the engineering approach, the discharge
management approach, and the water and land management approach.
This research classifies the sources of groundwater salinization and defines in detail different management approaches
to protecting the groundwater through salinization mitigation and/or groundwater salinity improvements. By focusing the
attention on the effect of seawater intrusion, practical solutions are proposed.
Polemio M. & Zuffianò L.E., 2016, Management of groundwater at salinisation risk,
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 40 (2016): 793–793.,
Abstract
Natural waters contain dissolved minerals from interactions with atmospheric and soil gases, mixing with other
solutions, ...
Natural waters contain dissolved minerals from interactions with atmospheric and soil gases, mixing with other
solutions, and/or interactions with the biosphere and lithosphere. In many cases, these processes result in natural waters
containing solute or salinity above concentrations recommended for a specified use, which creates significant social and
economic problems.
There are different measures, actions and practices for managing groundwater when the natural resource is exposed
to salinization. Some of these measures have a mitigation objective. Other measures have a more adaptive approach and
accept the high groundwater salinity but adjusting the groundwater use so that it is not harmful.
Moving from the lowest to the highest complexity, these approaches are the engineering approach, the discharge
management approach, and the water and land management approach.
This research classifies the sources of groundwater salinization and defines in detail different management approaches
to protecting the groundwater through salinization mitigation and/or groundwater salinity improvements. By focusing the
attention on the effect of seawater intrusion, practical solutions are proposed.
De Giorgio G., Santaloia F., Zuffianò L.E., Basso A., Dragone V. & Polemio M., 2016, Degradation of coastal aquifers of the Adriatic and Ionian Sea_ the framework of knowledge,
88° Congresso SGI, Napoli 2016, pp. 790–790, Napoli, 7-9 settembre 2016,
Abstract
The progressive population growth in coastal areas and the increasing groundwater discharge, together with
peculiarities of ...
The progressive population growth in coastal areas and the increasing groundwater discharge, together with
peculiarities of karst coastal aquifers constitute a huge worldwide problem, particularly relevant for coastal aquifers of
the Mediterranean basin (Tulipano et al., 2005).
Karst aquifers in coastal regions are well known to be highly vulnerable to the overexploitation of groundwater
resources, both from water increasing demand than from decreasing aquifer recharge due to climate changes. The coastal
carbonate aquifers of the Mediterranean Sea, in particular the Adriatic and Ionian coast that extend between western
Greece and Italy up to the eastern coast of Sicily not only ensure the socio-economic development of the populations but
feeds with spring waters valuable wetland environments with negative effects on ecosystems (Barrocu, 2003; Bonacci,
2014; Eftimi & Zojer, 2015; Polemio, 2016).
The aim of this study is to develop management and forecast tools to identify the best way to assure enduring
availability of high quality groundwater, and conciliate irrigation and drinking water demands. A geodatabase, collecting
information for all carbonate aquifers present along the Adriatic and Ionian coast, will be first created. At the core there
is a Geographic Information System, in which are placed the spatial information regarding the geology of aquifers,
hydrogeological and geochemical features, together with climatic conditions and specific information concerning past,
present and future groundwater usage.
The availability of tools that allow the integrated analysis of local hydrogeological situations, in reference to the wider
areas where they are located, allows numerous applications. The system, in fact, is not only aimed to archiving, querying
and mapping, but also to operate spatial analysis and the implementation of calculation systems, to return the
hydrogeological conceptual models, supporting both the management of groundwater resources and the knowledge for
the protection of coastal environments, and groundwater in general.
De Giorgio G., Santaloia F., Zuffianò L.E., Basso A., Dragone V. & Polemio M., 2016, Degradation of coastal aquifers of the Adriatic and Ionian Sea_ the framework of knowledge,
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 40 (2016): 790–790.,
Abstract
The progressive population growth in coastal areas and the increasing groundwater discharge, together with
peculiarities of ...
The progressive population growth in coastal areas and the increasing groundwater discharge, together with
peculiarities of karst coastal aquifers constitute a huge worldwide problem, particularly relevant for coastal aquifers of
the Mediterranean basin (Tulipano et al., 2005).
Karst aquifers in coastal regions are well known to be highly vulnerable to the overexploitation of groundwater
resources, both from water increasing demand than from decreasing aquifer recharge due to climate changes. The coastal
carbonate aquifers of the Mediterranean Sea, in particular the Adriatic and Ionian coast that extend between western
Greece and Italy up to the eastern coast of Sicily not only ensure the socio-economic development of the populations but
feeds with spring waters valuable wetland environments with negative effects on ecosystems (Barrocu, 2003; Bonacci,
2014; Eftimi & Zojer, 2015; Polemio, 2016).
The aim of this study is to develop management and forecast tools to identify the best way to assure enduring
availability of high quality groundwater, and conciliate irrigation and drinking water demands. A geodatabase, collecting
information for all carbonate aquifers present along the Adriatic and Ionian coast, will be first created. At the core there
is a Geographic Information System, in which are placed the spatial information regarding the geology of aquifers,
hydrogeological and geochemical features, together with climatic conditions and specific information concerning past,
present and future groundwater usage.
The availability of tools that allow the integrated analysis of local hydrogeological situations, in reference to the wider
areas where they are located, allows numerous applications. The system, in fact, is not only aimed to archiving, querying
and mapping, but also to operate spatial analysis and the implementation of calculation systems, to return the
hydrogeological conceptual models, supporting both the management of groundwater resources and the knowledge for
the protection of coastal environments, and groundwater in general.
Cianflone G.
Vespasiano G.
Apollaro C.
Dominici R.
Marini L.
Romanazzi A.
Polemio M.
De Rosa R., 2016, Geochemical study of the groundwater in the Sibari Plain (Calabria, Southern Italy),
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 40 (2016): 786–786.,
Abstract
The Sibari Plain, located in northeastern Calabria (southern Italy), represents a large coastal alluvial plain ...
The Sibari Plain, located in northeastern Calabria (southern Italy), represents a large coastal alluvial plain with
considerable agricultural and tourist development. The plain is crossed by secondary ephemeral rivers and by the Crati
River, the main regional river. The area is characterized by low rainfall and by the presence of a shallow unconfined and
outcropping aquifer lying on a confined aquifer.
A geochemical survey was carried out on 103 selected wells from June to September 2012 in the framework of the
project PON01_ 02818 AMICUS to investigate the chemical and isotopic composition of local groundwaters of the both
aquifers. In situ measurements of electrical conductivity show a mean value of 1.1 mS/cm and a maximum value of 4.2
mS/cm close to Crati Delta area. The interpretation of chemical data allows one to recognize 4 hydrochemical facies. The
Ca-HCO3 hydrochemical facies (70 samples) has a Total Ionic Salinity (TIS) comprised between 6 and 34 meq/L. It is
probably generated by calcite dissolution, a mineral phase that dissolves very quickly and that is very frequent in the
study area. The Na-HCO3 waters (13 samples) have TIS of 11 to 46 meq/L partly overlapping or somewhat higher than
the TIS range of Ca-HCO3 ones. The origin of these groundwaters is probably due to reflow of Ca-HCO3 groundwater in
shallow aquifers, previously flooded with seawater and/or brackish water (freshening). The Na-Cl hydrochemical facies
e (14 samples) show a wide TIS range, from 22 to 80 meq/L, generally higher than that of Ca-HCO3 water, but still below
the TIS of 1210 meq/L of mean seawater. These waters are typically found in aquifers located near the coast and in the
area of the Crati Delta. Close to the coastline, the origin of these waters can be related to ingression of seawater and/or
brackish water within the sediments of the alluvial plain. This intrusion of seawater and/or brackish water takes place
either directly (salt wedge), or through inflow of seawater along the riverbeds and subsequent infiltration into the
surrounding shallow aquifers hosted in the alluvial deposits. This process may be favored by intense pumping from wells
located near the riverbeds. The presence of Na-Cl waters in the inland area could be related to local upflow of deep brines
(recorded in deep exploration boreholes) along tectonic discontinuities. The Ca-Cl type (3 samples) has TIS of 33-49
meq/L, exceeding that of the Ca-HCO3 waters. This is a chemical composition generated by ionic exchange consequent
to seawater ingression.
Furthermore, the average infiltration elevation for the groundwaters of the Sibari Plain was obtained by means of the
d18O and d2H values of H2O. The computed average infiltration elevations, supported by the results of the numerical
groundwater modelling, suggest that the Sibari Plain aquifers system receives underground inflows from the surrounding
Pollino and Sila massifs.
Dragone V.
Muciaccia M.
Basso A.
Ciciretti L.
Palombella M.
Polemio M., 2016, A multiple approach to support geo-hydrological risk mitigation pursued by the land reclamation authority (Gargano, Apulia),
Rendiconti online Società Geologica Italiana 40 (2016): 770–770.,
Abstract
The main scope was to provide technological and methodological innovation to the Consorzio di Bonifica ...
The main scope was to provide technological and methodological innovation to the Consorzio di Bonifica Montana del Gargano (CBMG), the land reclamation authority of the Gargano Promontory, to support their responsibilities that ranges from mitigation of hydrogeological risk to water supply, mainly for agricultural purposes. It was pursued by a group of private enterprises, with the CNR-IRPI's Hydrology laboratory support, through the GarganoLab project "Integrated information system for land management, environmental monitoring and emergency alert", funded by the Apulia Region as part of "Living Labs" measures.
Giulia Bossi *, Matteo Mantovani, Simone Frigerio, Luca Schenato, Gianluca Marcato and Alessandro Pasuto, 2016, A Monitoring Network to Map and Assess Landslide Activity in a Highly Anthropized Area,
Geosciences (Basel) (2016). doi_10.3390/geosciences6030040,
DOI: 10.3390%2Fgeosciences6030040
Abstract
Mapping landslide activity in a highly anthropized area entails specific problems. The integration of different ...
Mapping landslide activity in a highly anthropized area entails specific problems. The integration of different monitoring techniques in order to measure the displacements rate within the slope is mandatory. We describe our activity for the Mortisa landslide which is located on the western flank of the Cortina d'Ampezzo valley (northeastern Italy) in a highly anthropized area in the heart of the Dolomites, a UNESCO world heritage site. The mass movement threatens some houses, an important national road, and part of the area that will be the venue for the upcoming 2021 Alpine Skiing World Championship. The hazardous context along with its prestigious location makes the construction of new settlements and infrastructure very challenging. Owing to that, precise mapping and assessment of the activity of the Mortisa landslide is extremely important. To achieve this task, multitemporal aerial photo interpretation, A-DInSAR analysis, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) surveys, and inclinometric measurements were performed. Through the integration of the monitoring data and geomorphological interpretation, a hazard map of the Mortisa area was produced with the intent to assist the local authorities in the definition of the new urban development plan.
Stefano Luigi Gariano (1,2), Giulio Iovine (3), Oreste Terranova (3), 2016, GA-SAKE: UN MODELLO BASATO SU ALGORITMI GENETICI PER LA PREVISIONE DI FRANE INDOTTE DA PIOGGIA,
XXXV Convegno Nazionale di Idraulica e Costruzioni Idrauliche, pp. 1035–1038, Bologna, 14-16/09/2016,
Abstract
- GA-SAKe è un modello empirico-idrologico per la previsione di frane, la cui calibrazione è ...
- GA-SAKe è un modello empirico-idrologico per la previsione di frane, la cui calibrazione è automatica grazie all'utilizzo di algoritmi genetici.
- È applicabile a singole frane (superficiali o profonde) o a popolazioni di frane simili, in contesti geo-ambientali omogenei. Richiede in input serie di piogge e di date di attivazione di frana.
- Vengono presentati i risultati ottenuti per tre casi di studio in Calabria.