Mauro Rossi (1,2), Dino Torri (1), Giovanni Bacaro (1), Alessandro Cesare Mondini (1), Paola Reichenbach (1), Federica Fiorucci (1), Ivan Marchesini (1), 2013, Evaluating the impact of fires on slope instability processes_ a case study in Central Italy, AGU 2013 Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, 9-13 December 2013,
URL: http://www.cnr.it/prodotto/i/275435

Fires can change significantly the characteristics of slopes. Their effect on vegetation, soil properties, and fauna can influence slope instability processes, including channeled erosion and mass movements. Even if in the literature attempts to estimate these effects were made using mostly empirical approaches, evaluating quantitatively the impact of fires on slope instability processes remain challenging. In a small basin in Central Italy, where an intense arson occurred in July 2012, we estimated the effects of fire on the hazard posed by different type of instability processes. For the purpose we modelled separately channeled erosion phenomena and rock falls, for which a significant impact of fires was expected. For the former we exploited the LANDPLANER (LANDscape, Plants, LANdslides and ERosion) model, which is able to simulate the hydrological response of a slope, and their effect on instability processes, under human-induced or natural changing scenarios, including climatic, land use, and slope morphology changes. For the latter we exploited two different modeling approaches considering directly (Rockyfor3D model) or indirectly (STONE model) the effect of the vegetation on the movement of rock masses along the slope. All the model simulations were repeated considering land use scenarios before and after the fire. Those were derived through field surveys and though the supervised classification of high resolution satellite images acquired in the study area before and after the fire. The analysis of the effect of the fire on channeled phenomena included the estimation of (i) the overland flow on the basin, (ii) the location of the gully head, (iii) the channel eroded volume, and (iii) the change of the connectivity inside the basin. The analysis of the effect of the fire on rock fall phenomena included the estimation of (i) the increase of rock fall source areas, (ii) the increase of distances travelled by rock masses along the slopes, and (iii) the spatial distribution of the fallen rock blocks. In all models and scenarios we considered the effect of roads. Results showed a significant increase of the susceptibility to slope instability processes after the fire, mainly due to (i) the formation of hydro repellent soil horizons, (ii) the removal of the litter, (iii) the burning of vegetation.

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